Hillary Clinton holds a narrow four-point lead over Donald Trump in Nevada for its six Electoral College votes, according to a Monmouth University poll released Monday.
Among voters who said they are likely to vote in the general election, 45 percent said they will support Clinton, while 41 percent backed Trump. Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson took 5 percent, while 4 percent said they will cast their ballots for the state’s “none of these candidates” option. In recent election cycles, that choice has drawn less than 1 percent of the vote, registering as high as 2 percent in the 1988 contest between George H.W. Bush and Michael Dukakis.
While 88 percent of self-identified Republicans said they are supporting Trump, another 6 percent said they are backing Clinton and another 2 percent said they are voting for Johnson or another candidate. Clinton’s support among Nevada Democrats is slightly stronger, with 92 percent support to 3 percent for Trump and 3 percent for Johnson.
Clinton leads among women 53 percent to 38 percent, while among men, Trump leads 44 percent to 37 percent. Neither Clinton nor Trump has a favorable image in the state, and voters appear undecided on the question on who would best help out “the little guy.” On that question, Clinton leads Trump 37 percent to 31 percent, while 4 percent said it would describe them equally and 27 percent said neither would look out for “the little guy.”
On Clinton’s private email server, 44 percent of likely Nevada voters said Clinton acted criminally, while 27 percent said she showed poor judgment, 13 percent said she did nothing unusual and 16 percent had no opinion.
Monmouth conducted the poll from July 7-10, surveying a random sample of 408 likely Nevada voters via landlines and cellphones. The overall margin of error is plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.