Hillary Clinton received a strong post-convention bounce after the Democratic National Convention, which is normal. That said, her lead is only increasing, and according to the Monmouth University poll released Monday, Clinton now has a 13% lead over her challenger, Donald Trump.
The Monmouth University survey shows Clinton leading Donald Trump, 50% to 37%, among likely voters. Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson is at 7%, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein is at 2%. Only 3% of likely voters are undecided.
Prior to the two national conventions last month, Clinton had just a 2% point lead over Trump, 45% to 43%.
Worries about Bernie Sanders supporters seemed to have waned, as Clinton is winning 92% of Democrats surveyed. But Trump captures only 79% of Republican respondents. Trump and Clinton are running neck-and-neck among self-identified independents.
This poll is significant because Clinton’s lead is larger than most other surveys. Plus, the Monmouth poll was conducted last Thursday through Sunday, more recently than the other polls showing a Clinton bump, like Sunday’s ABC News/Washington Post poll, which was conducted last Monday through Thursday.
While it is only one snapshot, the Monmouth poll suggests Clinton’s post-convention bounce not only hasn’t receded in recent days, it might actually be growing.
There are a number of other positive measures for Clinton: She hits the 50% threshold on the ballot test, even with Johnson and Stein included. (According to RealClearPolitics, Clinton’s previous high-water mark on the four-way ballot test was 46%.) And Clinton’s lead among likely voters, 13 points, is actually slightly wider than her 12-point advantage among all registered voters.
The new Monmouth poll was conducted Aug. 4-7, surveying 803 registered voters — 683 of whom were classified likely voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for registered voters, and plus or minus 3.8 percentage points for likely voters.